AccuWeather High Temperature Prediction Analysis

Note: All differences have their signs flipped from the original data, as requested.

Median High Temperature Differences by City

City Sample Size Median Difference (°F)
Austin 23 -1.0
Denver 23 0.0
Chicago 23 2.0
Los Angeles 23 -1.0
New York 23 1.0
Philadelphia 23 2.0
Miami 23 2.0
Overall 161 1.0

Distribution of Differences by City

Austin (23 predictions)

Difference (°F) Count Percentage Distribution
-7 3 13%
-5 1 4.3%
-4 2 8.7%
-3 2 8.7%
-2 3 13%
-1 2 8.7%
0 3 13%
1 4 17.4%
3 2 8.7%
4 1 4.3%

Denver (23 predictions)

Difference (°F) Count Percentage Distribution
-4 1 4.3%
-2 1 4.3%
-1 5 21.7%
0 5 21.7%
1 4 17.4%
2 3 13%
3 1 4.3%
6 1 4.3%
7 1 4.3%
11 1 4.3%

Chicago (23 predictions)

Difference (°F) Count Percentage Distribution
-4 2 8.7%
-2 1 4.3%
-1 2 8.7%
0 2 8.7%
1 2 8.7%
2 3 13%
3 1 4.3%
4 3 13%
5 2 8.7%
6 1 4.3%
7 1 4.3%
9 1 4.3%
10 1 4.3%
16 1 4.3%

Los Angeles (23 predictions)

Difference (°F) Count Percentage Distribution
-9 1 4.3%
-4 2 8.7%
-3 3 13%
-2 3 13%
-1 4 17.4%
0 4 17.4%
1 1 4.3%
2 3 13%
3 1 4.3%
6 1 4.3%

New York (23 predictions)

Difference (°F) Count Percentage Distribution
-3 2 8.7%
-2 4 17.4%
-1 1 4.3%
0 4 17.4%
1 1 4.3%
2 1 4.3%
3 4 17.4%
5 3 13%
6 2 8.7%
7 1 4.3%

Philadelphia (23 predictions)

Difference (°F) Count Percentage Distribution
-4 3 13%
-2 1 4.3%
-1 2 8.7%
0 2 8.7%
1 3 13%
2 3 13%
4 2 8.7%
5 3 13%
6 2 8.7%
7 1 4.3%
8 1 4.3%

Miami (23 predictions)

Difference (°F) Count Percentage Distribution
-1 1 4.3%
0 2 8.7%
1 8 34.8%
2 5 21.7%
3 5 21.7%
4 1 4.3%
7 1 4.3%

Overall Distribution of Differences

Difference (°F) Count Percentage Distribution
-9 1 0.6%
-7 3 1.9%
-5 1 0.6%
-4 10 6.2%
-3 7 4.3%
-2 13 8.1%
-1 17 10.6%
0 22 13.7%
1 23 14.3%
2 18 11.2%
3 14 8.7%
4 7 4.3%
5 8 5%
6 7 4.3%
7 5 3.1%
8 1 0.6%
9 1 0.6%
10 1 0.6%
11 1 0.6%
16 1 0.6%