Analytics-based win probability prediction for each team.
The small percentage under each betting line shows what you're "paying for". The lower this number, the better the deal you're getting.
Time | Teams | FPI (Win %) |
Novig
Spread
ML
|
Fanduel
Spread
ML
|
Draftkings
Spread
ML
|
Betmgm
Spread
ML
|
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10/16 6:15 PM |
Pittsburgh Steelers
|
0.7
65.9%
EV: 1.1%
|
-5.5
102.00
64.8%
-233.00
70.0%
|
-5.5
-108.00
67.2%
-250.00
71.4%
|
-5.5
-110.00
67.7%
-278.00
73.5%
|
-5.5
-110.00
67.7%
-275.00
73.3%
|
Cincinnati Bengals
|
-6.6
34.1%
EV: 3.4%
|
+
5.5
-108.00
36.6%
+
226.00
30.7%
|
+
5.5
-112.00
37.5%
+
205.00
32.8%
|
+
5.5
-110.00
37.1%
+
225.00
30.8%
|
+
5.5
-110.00
37.1%
+
225.00
30.8%
|
|
10/19 7:30 AM |
Los Angeles Rams
|
3.1
52.2%
EV: -6.6%
|
-2.5
-122.00
62.1%
-143.00
58.8%
|
-3
-105.00
59.7%
-148.00
59.7%
|
-3
-115.00
62.0%
-162.00
61.8%
|
-3
-102.00
59.0%
-150.00
60.0%
|
Jacksonville Jaguars
|
-0.2
47.8%
EV: 8.0%
|
+
2.5
113.00
39.8%
+
139.00
41.8%
|
+
3.0
-115.00
45.0%
+
126.00
44.2%
|
+
3.0
-105.00
42.7%
+
136.00
42.4%
|
+
3.0
-118.00
45.6%
+
125.00
44.4%
|
|
10/19 11:00 AM |
Carolina Panthers
|
-3.9
50.1%
EV: -1.8%
|
-1.5
104.00
53.3%
-108.00
51.9%
|
-1.5
-114.00
57.6%
-126.00
55.8%
|
-1.5
-110.00
56.7%
-125.00
55.6%
|
-1.5
-110.00
56.7%
-125.00
55.6%
|
New York Jets
|
-5.9
49.9%
EV: 2.7%
|
+
1.5
-106.00
47.2%
+
105.00
48.8%
|
+
1.5
-106.00
47.2%
+
108.00
48.1%
|
+
1.5
-110.00
48.1%
+
105.00
48.8%
|
+
1.5
-110.00
48.1%
+
105.00
48.8%
|
|
10/19 11:00 AM |
New Orleans Saints
|
-6.3
31.1%
EV: -0.8%
|
+
5.5
-110.00
37.1%
+
213.00
31.9%
|
+
5.5
-112.00
37.5%
+
205.00
32.8%
|
+
5.5
-110.00
37.1%
+
200.00
33.3%
|
+
5.5
-110.00
37.1%
+
200.00
33.3%
|
Chicago Bears
|
-1.5
68.9%
EV: 4.8%
|
-5.5
105.00
64.1%
-223.00
69.0%
|
-5.5
-108.00
67.2%
-250.00
71.4%
|
-5.5
-110.00
67.7%
-245.00
71.0%
|
-5.5
-110.00
67.7%
-250.00
71.4%
|
|
10/19 11:00 AM |
Miami Dolphins
|
-3.3
50.1%
EV: 9.6%
|
+
2.5
110.00
40.5%
+
144.00
41.0%
|
+
3
-115.00
45.0%
+
134.00
42.7%
|
+
2.5
100.00
42.9%
+
124.00
44.6%
|
+
3
-115.00
45.0%
+
135.00
42.6%
|
Cleveland Browns
|
-5.8
49.9%
EV: -9.4%
|
-2.5
-117.00
61.0%
-146.00
59.3%
|
-3.0
-105.00
59.7%
-158.00
61.2%
|
-2.5
-120.00
61.6%
-148.00
59.7%
|
-3.0
-105.00
59.7%
-160.00
61.5%
|
|
10/19 11:00 AM |
Las Vegas Raiders
|
-3.9
19.0%
EV: 5.4%
|
+
11.5
-103.00
21.3%
+
635.00
13.6%
|
+
11.5
-105.00
21.8%
+
520.00
16.1%
|
+
12.5
-112.00
21.4%
+
575.00
14.8%
|
+
12
-110.00
22.0%
+
525.00
16.0%
|
Kansas City Chiefs
|
6.7
81.0%
EV: -1.2%
|
-11.5
-112.00
82.2%
-663.00
86.9%
|
-11.5
-115.00
82.9%
-720.00
87.8%
|
-12.5
-108.00
83.3%
-850.00
89.5%
|
-12.0
-110.00
82.8%
-750.00
88.2%
|
|
10/19 11:00 AM |
Philadelphia Eagles
|
3.5
54.2%
EV: -0.3%
|
-1.5
-106.00
55.8%
-120.00
54.5%
|
-2.5
-108.00
59.0%
-134.00
57.3%
|
-2.5
-105.00
58.3%
-135.00
57.4%
|
-2
-110.00
58.1%
-130.00
56.5%
|
Minnesota Vikings
|
-1.0
45.8%
EV: 0.3%
|
+
1.5
-102.00
46.2%
+
120.00
45.5%
|
+
2.5
-112.00
45.7%
+
114.00
46.7%
|
+
2.5
-115.00
46.4%
+
114.00
46.7%
|
+
2.0
-110.00
46.7%
+
110.00
47.6%
|
|
10/19 11:00 AM |
New England Patriots
|
-0.1
68.9%
EV: 1.6%
|
-7.5
113.00
67.3%
-308.00
75.5%
|
-7
-110.00
71.5%
-355.00
78.0%
|
-7
-115.00
72.6%
-355.00
78.0%
|
-7
-110.00
71.5%
-325.00
76.5%
|
Tennessee Titans
|
-8.3
31.1%
EV: 6.1%
|
+
7.5
-121.00
34.4%
+
300.00
25.0%
|
+
7.0
-110.00
33.3%
+
285.00
26.0%
|
+
7.0
-105.00
32.1%
+
280.00
26.3%
|
+
7.0
-110.00
33.3%
+
260.00
27.8%
|
|
10/19 2:05 PM |
New York Giants
|
-2.4
31.1%
EV: 7.1%
|
+
7.5
-118.00
33.7%
+
317.00
24.0%
|
+
7
-110.00
33.3%
+
275.00
26.7%
|
+
7
-110.00
33.3%
+
280.00
26.3%
|
+
7
-115.00
34.4%
+
260.00
27.8%
|
Denver Broncos
|
2.1
68.9%
EV: 1.3%
|
-7.5
112.00
67.6%
-320.00
76.2%
|
-7.0
-110.00
71.5%
-340.00
77.3%
|
-7.0
-110.00
71.5%
-355.00
78.0%
|
-7.0
-105.00
70.3%
-325.00
76.5%
|
|
10/19 2:05 PM |
Indianapolis Colts
|
2.9
49.9%
EV: 4.4%
|
+
1.5
101.00
45.5%
+
118.00
45.9%
|
+
1.5
-108.00
47.6%
+
112.00
47.2%
|
+
1.5
-108.00
47.6%
+
110.00
47.6%
|
+
1.5
-110.00
48.1%
+
105.00
48.8%
|
Los Angeles Chargers
|
1.7
50.1%
EV: -4.7%
|
-1.5
-108.00
56.2%
-121.00
54.8%
|
-1.5
-112.00
57.1%
-132.00
56.9%
|
-1.5
-112.00
57.1%
-130.00
56.5%
|
-1.5
-110.00
56.7%
-125.00
55.6%
|
|
10/19 2:25 PM |
Green Bay Packers
|
4.5
61.7%
EV: -6.9%
|
-6.5
-103.00
68.6%
-291.00
74.4%
|
-6.5
-112.00
70.7%
-300.00
75.0%
|
-6.5
-115.00
71.4%
-345.00
77.5%
|
-6.5
-110.00
70.3%
-325.00
76.5%
|
Arizona Cardinals
|
-1.3
38.3%
EV: 11.6%
|
+
6.5
-105.00
33.3%
+
272.00
26.9%
|
+
6.5
-108.00
34.0%
+
245.00
29.0%
|
+
6.5
-105.00
33.3%
+
275.00
26.7%
|
+
6.5
-110.00
34.5%
+
260.00
27.8%
|
|
10/19 2:25 PM |
Washington Commanders
|
3.6
50.1%
EV: -4.4%
|
-1.5
-106.00
55.8%
-120.00
54.5%
|
-1.5
-115.00
57.8%
-130.00
56.5%
|
-2.5
-110.00
59.5%
-135.00
57.4%
|
-2
-110.00
58.1%
-130.00
56.5%
|
Dallas Cowboys
|
1.1
49.9%
EV: 4.6%
|
+
1.5
-108.00
47.6%
+
116.00
46.3%
|
+
1.5
-105.00
46.9%
+
110.00
47.6%
|
+
2.5
-110.00
45.3%
+
114.00
46.7%
|
+
2.0
-110.00
46.7%
+
110.00
47.6%
|
|
10/19 6:20 PM |
Atlanta Falcons
|
-1.9
34.1%
EV: -10.7%
|
+
1.5
-101.00
45.9%
+
123.00
44.8%
|
+
2.5
-115.00
46.4%
+
110.00
47.6%
|
+
2.5
-112.00
45.7%
+
114.00
46.7%
|
+
2
-110.00
46.7%
+
110.00
47.6%
|
San Francisco 49ers
|
1.9
65.9%
EV: 10.3%
|
-1.5
-114.00
57.6%
-125.00
55.6%
|
-2.5
-105.00
58.3%
-130.00
56.5%
|
-2.5
-108.00
59.0%
-135.00
57.4%
|
-2.0
-110.00
58.1%
-130.00
56.5%
|
|
10/20 5:00 PM |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
|
1.7
34.1%
EV: 1.9%
|
+
5.5
-101.00
34.9%
+
211.00
32.2%
|
+
5.5
-114.00
38.0%
+
198.00
33.6%
|
+
5.5
-110.00
37.1%
+
205.00
32.8%
|
+
5.5
-110.00
37.1%
+
200.00
33.3%
|
Detroit Lions
|
5.2
65.9%
EV: 0.4%
|
-5.5
-101.00
65.5%
-218.00
68.6%
|
-5.5
-106.00
66.8%
-240.00
70.6%
|
-5.5
-110.00
67.7%
-250.00
71.4%
|
-5.5
-110.00
67.7%
-250.00
71.4%
|
|
10/20 8:00 PM |
Houston Texans
|
1.9
47.8%
EV: 9.0%
|
+
3.5
-112.00
42.9%
+
158.00
38.8%
|
+
3.5
-110.00
42.5%
+
154.00
39.4%
|
+
3
100.00
41.5%
+
142.00
41.3%
|
+
3.5
-115.00
43.6%
+
150.00
40.0%
|
Seattle Seahawks
|
1.1
52.2%
EV: -5.5%
|
-3.5
109.00
57.7%
-164.00
62.1%
|
-3.5
-110.00
62.3%
-184.00
64.8%
|
-3.0
-120.00
63.0%
-170.00
63.0%
|
-3.5
-105.00
61.1%
-185.00
64.9%
|
|
10/23 6:15 PM |
Minnesota Vikings
|
-1.0
35.9%
EV: -4.1%
|
N/A
N/A
|
+
3.5
-114.00
43.4%
+
150.00
40.0%
|
+
3
-110.00
43.9%
+
136.00
42.4%
|
N/A
N/A
|
Los Angeles Chargers
|
1.7
64.1%
EV: 3.2%
|
N/A
N/A
|
-3.5
-106.00
61.4%
-178.00
64.0%
|
-3.0
-110.00
60.9%
-162.00
61.8%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
10/26 11:00 AM |
Miami Dolphins
|
-3.3
38.3%
EV: 6.6%
|
N/A
N/A
|
+
5.5
-102.00
35.2%
+
215.00
31.7%
|
+
5.5
-110.00
37.1%
+
200.00
33.3%
|
N/A
N/A
|
Atlanta Falcons
|
-1.9
61.7%
EV: -6.0%
|
N/A
N/A
|
-5.5
-120.00
69.8%
-260.00
72.2%
|
-5.5
-110.00
67.7%
-245.00
71.0%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
10/26 11:00 AM |
Chicago Bears
|
-1.5
34.1%
EV: 5.1%
|
N/A
N/A
|
+
6.5
-110.00
34.5%
+
245.00
29.0%
|
+
6.5
-110.00
34.5%
+
245.00
29.0%
|
N/A
N/A
|
Baltimore Ravens
|
2.0
65.9%
EV: -4.4%
|
N/A
N/A
|
-6.5
-110.00
70.3%
-300.00
75.0%
|
-6.5
-110.00
70.3%
-305.00
75.3%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
10/26 11:00 AM |
Buffalo Bills
|
4.1
66.4%
EV: -5.1%
|
N/A
N/A
|
-7.5
-110.00
72.8%
-400.00
80.0%
|
-7
-110.00
71.5%
-355.00
78.0%
|
N/A
N/A
|
Carolina Panthers
|
-3.9
33.6%
EV: 9.5%
|
N/A
N/A
|
+
7.5
-110.00
32.0%
+
315.00
24.1%
|
+
7.0
-110.00
33.3%
+
280.00
26.3%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
10/26 11:00 AM |
New York Jets
|
-5.9
47.8%
EV: 3.7%
|
N/A
N/A
|
+
2.5
-105.00
44.1%
+
120.00
45.5%
|
+
2.5
-110.00
45.3%
+
114.00
46.7%
|
N/A
N/A
|
Cincinnati Bengals
|
-6.6
52.2%
EV: -5.2%
|
N/A
N/A
|
-2.5
-115.00
60.6%
-142.00
58.7%
|
-2.5
-110.00
59.5%
-135.00
57.4%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
10/26 11:00 AM |
Cleveland Browns
|
-5.8
26.5%
EV: -0.9%
|
N/A
N/A
|
+
7
-115.00
34.4%
+
265.00
27.4%
|
+
6.5
-102.00
32.6%
+
260.00
27.8%
|
N/A
N/A
|
New England Patriots
|
-0.1
73.5%
EV: 3.2%
|
N/A
N/A
|
-7.0
-105.00
70.3%
-330.00
76.7%
|
-6.5
-118.00
72.0%
-325.00
76.5%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
10/26 11:00 AM |
San Francisco 49ers
|
1.9
47.8%
EV: 2.5%
|
N/A
N/A
|
+
1.5
-105.00
46.9%
+
108.00
48.1%
|
+
2.5
-110.00
45.3%
+
114.00
46.7%
|
N/A
N/A
|
Houston Texans
|
1.9
52.2%
EV: -3.6%
|
N/A
N/A
|
-1.5
-115.00
57.8%
-126.00
55.8%
|
-2.5
-110.00
59.5%
-135.00
57.4%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
10/26 11:00 AM |
New York Giants
|
-2.4
26.5%
EV: 4.8%
|
N/A
N/A
|
+
7.5
-105.00
30.8%
+
360.00
21.7%
|
+
7.5
-110.00
32.0%
+
300.00
25.0%
|
N/A
N/A
|
Philadelphia Eagles
|
3.5
73.5%
EV: 0.7%
|
N/A
N/A
|
-7.5
-115.00
73.9%
-460.00
82.1%
|
-7.5
-110.00
72.8%
-380.00
79.2%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
10/26 2:05 PM |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
|
1.7
66.4%
EV: -0.1%
|
N/A
N/A
|
-5.5
-105.00
66.5%
-220.00
68.8%
|
-6
-110.00
69.0%
-265.00
72.6%
|
N/A
N/A
|
New Orleans Saints
|
-6.3
33.6%
EV: 1.9%
|
N/A
N/A
|
+
5.5
-115.00
38.2%
+
188.00
34.7%
|
+
6.0
-110.00
35.8%
+
215.00
31.7%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
10/26 2:25 PM |
Dallas Cowboys
|
1.1
45.5%
EV: 12.2%
|
N/A
N/A
|
+
4.5
-114.00
40.7%
+
168.00
37.3%
|
+
5.5
-110.00
37.1%
+
200.00
33.3%
|
N/A
N/A
|
Denver Broncos
|
2.1
54.5%
EV: -9.6%
|
N/A
N/A
|
-4.5
-106.00
64.1%
-200.00
66.7%
|
-5.5
-110.00
67.7%
-245.00
71.0%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
10/26 2:25 PM |
Tennessee Titans
|
-8.3
17.6%
EV: 1.7%
|
N/A
N/A
|
+
12.5
-110.00
21.0%
+
530.00
15.9%
|
+
11.5
-110.00
23.0%
+
525.00
16.0%
|
N/A
N/A
|
Indianapolis Colts
|
2.9
82.4%
EV: 0.6%
|
N/A
N/A
|
-12.5
-110.00
83.8%
-750.00
88.2%
|
-11.5
-110.00
81.8%
-750.00
88.2%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
10/26 6:20 PM |
Green Bay Packers
|
4.5
52.2%
EV: -8.7%
|
N/A
N/A
|
-3
-110.00
60.9%
-162.00
61.8%
|
-3
-110.00
60.9%
-162.00
61.8%
|
N/A
N/A
|
Pittsburgh Steelers
|
0.7
47.8%
EV: 5.4%
|
N/A
N/A
|
+
3.0
-110.00
43.9%
+
136.00
42.4%
|
+
3.0
-110.00
43.9%
+
136.00
42.4%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
10/27 6:15 PM |
Washington Commanders
|
3.6
34.1%
EV: 4.2%
|
N/A
N/A
|
+
6.5
-118.00
36.2%
+
235.00
29.9%
|
+
4.5
-105.00
38.6%
+
200.00
33.3%
|
N/A
N/A
|
Kansas City Chiefs
|
6.7
65.9%
EV: -0.2%
|
N/A
N/A
|
-6.5
-104.00
68.9%
-290.00
74.4%
|
-4.5
-115.00
66.1%
-245.00
71.0%
|
N/A
N/A
|
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