Analytics-based win probability prediction for each team.
The small percentage under each betting line shows what you're "paying for". The lower this number, the better the deal you're getting.
| Time | Teams | FPI (Win %) |
Novig
Spread
ML
|
Fanduel
Spread
ML
|
Draftkings
Spread
ML
|
Betmgm
Spread
ML
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/23 5:40 PM |
Oklahoma City Thunder
|
8.6
44.5%
EV: -25.8%
|
N/A
N/A
|
N/A
N/A
|
-7.5
-110.00
70.3%
-305.00
75.3%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
Indiana Pacers
|
6.3
55.5%
EV: 26.5%
|
N/A
N/A
|
N/A
N/A
|
+
7.5
-110.00
34.5%
+
245.00
29.0%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
| 10/21 5:30 PM |
Houston Rockets
|
5.4
21.2%
EV: -10.1%
|
N/A
N/A
|
+
6.5
-110.00
37.8%
+
215.00
31.7%
|
+
6.5
-110.00
37.8%
+
220.00
31.3%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
Oklahoma City Thunder
|
8.6
78.8%
EV: 11.8%
|
N/A
N/A
|
-6.5
-110.00
67.0%
-255.00
71.8%
|
-6.5
-110.00
67.0%
-270.00
73.0%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
| 11/21 6:00 PM |
Indiana Pacers
|
6.3
44.5%
EV: 23.2%
|
N/A
N/A
|
N/A
N/A
|
+
10
-110.00
27.9%
+
370.00
21.3%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
Cleveland Cavaliers
|
4.2
55.5%
EV: -21.4%
|
N/A
N/A
|
N/A
N/A
|
-10.0
-110.00
76.9%
-485.00
82.9%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
| 11/21 8:30 PM |
Denver Nuggets
|
4.3
29.6%
EV: -12.1%
|
N/A
N/A
|
N/A
N/A
|
+
3.5
-110.00
45.4%
+
140.00
41.7%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
Houston Rockets
|
5.4
70.4%
EV: 11.0%
|
N/A
N/A
|
N/A
N/A
|
-3.5
-110.00
59.4%
-166.00
62.4%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
| 10/22 5:10 PM |
Cleveland Cavaliers
|
4.2
38.5%
EV: -1.5%
|
N/A
N/A
|
N/A
N/A
|
+
4
-110.00
45.0%
+
150.00
40.0%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
New York Knicks
|
3.5
61.5%
EV: 1.7%
|
N/A
N/A
|
N/A
N/A
|
-4.0
-110.00
59.8%
-180.00
64.3%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
| 10/27 7:30 PM |
Denver Nuggets
|
4.3
44.1%
EV: -5.4%
|
N/A
N/A
|
N/A
N/A
|
+
1.5
-110.00
50.5%
+
102.00
49.5%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
Minnesota Timberwolves
|
2.8
55.9%
EV: 1.6%
|
N/A
N/A
|
N/A
N/A
|
-1.5
-110.00
54.3%
-122.00
55.0%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
| 10/24 5:30 PM |
Boston Celtics
|
3.2
34.1%
EV: 2.4%
|
N/A
N/A
|
N/A
N/A
|
+
6.5
-110.00
37.8%
+
215.00
31.7%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
New York Knicks
|
3.5
65.9%
EV: -1.1%
|
N/A
N/A
|
N/A
N/A
|
-6.5
-110.00
67.0%
-265.00
72.6%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
| 10/23 8:10 PM |
Denver Nuggets
|
4.3
44.5%
EV: -7.4%
|
N/A
N/A
|
N/A
N/A
|
+
1
-115.00
53.5%
-108.00
51.9%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
Golden State Warriors
|
2.2
55.5%
EV: 4.3%
|
N/A
N/A
|
N/A
N/A
|
-1.0
-105.00
51.2%
-112.00
52.8%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
| 11/7 9:00 PM |
Golden State Warriors
|
2.2
25.2%
EV: -9.9%
|
N/A
N/A
|
N/A
N/A
|
+
5.5
-110.00
40.6%
+
185.00
35.1%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
Denver Nuggets
|
4.3
74.8%
EV: 10.6%
|
N/A
N/A
|
N/A
N/A
|
-5.5
-110.00
64.2%
-225.00
69.2%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
| 10/24 8:00 PM |
Minnesota Timberwolves
|
2.8
34.1%
EV: -11.4%
|
N/A
N/A
|
N/A
N/A
|
+
2.5
-110.00
48.0%
+
120.00
45.5%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
Los Angeles Lakers
|
2.9
65.9%
EV: 9.1%
|
N/A
N/A
|
N/A
N/A
|
-2.5
-110.00
56.8%
-142.00
58.7%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
| 11/25 10:00 PM |
Los Angeles Clippers
|
2.6
34.1%
EV: -16.4%
|
N/A
N/A
|
N/A
N/A
|
-1
-102.00
50.5%
-110.00
52.4%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
Los Angeles Lakers
|
2.9
65.9%
EV: 13.5%
|
N/A
N/A
|
N/A
N/A
|
+
1.0
-118.00
54.1%
-110.00
52.4%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
| 10/21 8:00 PM |
Golden State Warriors
|
2.2
29.6%
EV: -12.1%
|
N/A
N/A
|
+
3.5
-106.00
44.5%
+
140.00
41.7%
|
+
3.5
-110.00
45.4%
+
136.00
42.4%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
Los Angeles Lakers
|
2.9
70.4%
EV: 11.0%
|
N/A
N/A
|
-3.5
-114.00
60.3%
-166.00
62.4%
|
-3.5
-110.00
59.4%
-162.00
61.8%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
| 10/27 5:00 PM |
Cleveland Cavaliers
|
4.2
50.0%
EV: -4.3%
|
N/A
N/A
|
N/A
N/A
|
-1.5
-110.00
54.3%
-122.00
55.0%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
Detroit Pistons
|
-0.3
50.0%
EV: 0.5%
|
N/A
N/A
|
N/A
N/A
|
+
1.5
-110.00
50.5%
+
102.00
49.5%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
| 11/7 6:30 PM |
Houston Rockets
|
5.4
65.9%
EV: 8.9%
|
N/A
N/A
|
N/A
N/A
|
-3
-110.00
57.0%
-148.00
59.7%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
San Antonio Spurs
|
-2.0
34.1%
EV: -10.5%
|
N/A
N/A
|
N/A
N/A
|
+
3.0
-110.00
47.8%
+
124.00
44.6%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
| 10/31 7:30 PM |
Los Angeles Lakers
|
2.9
50.0%
EV: -4.3%
|
N/A
N/A
|
N/A
N/A
|
-1.5
-110.00
54.3%
-122.00
55.0%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
Memphis Grizzlies
|
-0.8
50.0%
EV: 0.5%
|
N/A
N/A
|
N/A
N/A
|
+
1.5
-110.00
50.5%
+
102.00
49.5%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
| 10/22 5:40 PM |
Philadelphia 76ers
|
-2.2
14.3%
EV: -33.3%
|
N/A
N/A
|
N/A
N/A
|
+
2
-110.00
50.4%
+
110.00
47.6%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
Boston Celtics
|
3.2
85.7%
EV: 31.3%
|
N/A
N/A
|
N/A
N/A
|
-2.0
-110.00
54.4%
-130.00
56.5%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
| 10/31 5:00 PM |
Boston Celtics
|
3.2
55.5%
EV: 14.7%
|
N/A
N/A
|
N/A
N/A
|
+
4
-110.00
45.0%
+
145.00
40.8%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
Philadelphia 76ers
|
-2.2
44.5%
EV: -15.3%
|
N/A
N/A
|
N/A
N/A
|
-4.0
-110.00
59.8%
-175.00
63.6%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
| 10/22 8:10 PM |
Minnesota Timberwolves
|
2.8
55.5%
EV: -1.3%
|
N/A
N/A
|
N/A
N/A
|
-2.5
-110.00
56.8%
-142.00
58.7%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
Portland Trail Blazers
|
-2.1
44.5%
EV: -1.0%
|
N/A
N/A
|
N/A
N/A
|
+
2.5
-110.00
48.0%
+
120.00
45.5%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
| 11/25 7:00 PM |
Orlando Magic
|
2.5
55.5%
EV: 3.1%
|
N/A
N/A
|
N/A
N/A
|
-1
-110.00
52.4%
-118.00
54.1%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
Philadelphia 76ers
|
-2.2
44.5%
EV: -6.0%
|
N/A
N/A
|
N/A
N/A
|
+
1.0
-110.00
52.4%
-102.00
50.5%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
| 11/14 8:30 PM |
Golden State Warriors
|
2.2
50.0%
EV: -1.2%
|
N/A
N/A
|
N/A
N/A
|
-1
-105.00
51.2%
-110.00
52.4%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
San Antonio Spurs
|
-2.0
50.0%
EV: -2.4%
|
N/A
N/A
|
N/A
N/A
|
+
1.0
-115.00
53.5%
-110.00
52.4%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
| 11/14 6:00 PM |
Miami Heat
|
-3.7
9.2%
EV: -17.5%
|
N/A
N/A
|
N/A
N/A
|
+
8
-110.00
33.4%
+
275.00
26.7%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
New York Knicks
|
3.5
90.8%
EV: 19.4%
|
N/A
N/A
|
N/A
N/A
|
-8.0
-110.00
71.4%
-345.00
77.5%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
| 10/22 7:40 PM |
San Antonio Spurs
|
-2.0
21.2%
EV: -29.3%
|
N/A
N/A
|
N/A
N/A
|
-1
-102.00
50.5%
-110.00
52.4%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
Dallas Mavericks
|
1.4
78.8%
EV: 26.4%
|
N/A
N/A
|
N/A
N/A
|
+
1.0
-118.00
54.1%
-110.00
52.4%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
| 10/22 5:10 PM |
Miami Heat
|
-3.7
11.5%
EV: -16.3%
|
N/A
N/A
|
N/A
N/A
|
+
7.5
-110.00
34.5%
+
260.00
27.8%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
Orlando Magic
|
2.5
88.5%
EV: 18.2%
|
N/A
N/A
|
N/A
N/A
|
-7.5
-110.00
70.3%
-325.00
76.5%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
| 10/22 6:10 PM |
Detroit Pistons
|
-0.3
38.5%
EV: -15.9%
|
N/A
N/A
|
N/A
N/A
|
-2
-110.00
54.4%
-130.00
56.5%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
Chicago Bulls
|
-1.0
61.5%
EV: 13.9%
|
N/A
N/A
|
N/A
N/A
|
+
2.0
-110.00
50.4%
+
110.00
47.6%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
| 10/22 5:40 PM |
Toronto Raptors
|
-2.7
21.2%
EV: -12.1%
|
N/A
N/A
|
N/A
N/A
|
+
6
-110.00
39.9%
+
200.00
33.3%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
Atlanta Hawks
|
0.5
78.8%
EV: 13.9%
|
N/A
N/A
|
N/A
N/A
|
-6.0
-110.00
64.9%
-245.00
71.0%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
| 10/22 8:10 PM |
Sacramento Kings
|
-1.2
44.5%
EV: -6.0%
|
N/A
N/A
|
N/A
N/A
|
+
1
-110.00
52.4%
-102.00
50.5%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
Phoenix Suns
|
-3.1
55.5%
EV: 3.1%
|
N/A
N/A
|
N/A
N/A
|
-1.0
-110.00
52.4%
-118.00
54.1%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
| 10/22 6:10 PM |
New Orleans Pelicans
|
-3.9
21.2%
EV: -11.1%
|
N/A
N/A
|
N/A
N/A
|
+
6.5
-110.00
37.8%
+
210.00
32.3%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
Memphis Grizzlies
|
-0.8
78.8%
EV: 11.8%
|
N/A
N/A
|
N/A
N/A
|
-6.5
-110.00
67.0%
-258.00
72.1%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
| 10/22 7:10 PM |
Los Angeles Clippers
|
2.6
78.8%
EV: 7.0%
|
N/A
N/A
|
N/A
N/A
|
-8
-112.00
71.8%
-325.00
76.5%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
Utah Jazz
|
-7.7
21.2%
EV: -6.6%
|
N/A
N/A
|
N/A
N/A
|
+
8.0
-108.00
32.9%
+
260.00
27.8%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
| 10/22 6:10 PM |
Washington Wizards
|
-8.8
4.1%
EV: -21.9%
|
N/A
N/A
|
N/A
N/A
|
+
8.5
-110.00
31.7%
+
285.00
26.0%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
Milwaukee Bucks
|
1.4
95.9%
EV: 22.8%
|
N/A
N/A
|
N/A
N/A
|
-8.5
-110.00
73.1%
-360.00
78.3%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
| 10/22 5:10 PM |
Brooklyn Nets
|
-4.2
50.0%
EV: 6.5%
|
N/A
N/A
|
N/A
N/A
|
+
3
-110.00
47.8%
+
130.00
43.5%
|
N/A
N/A
|
|
Charlotte Hornets
|
-7.9
50.0%
EV: -7.0%
|
N/A
N/A
|
N/A
N/A
|
-3.0
-110.00
57.0%
-155.00
60.8%
|
N/A
N/A
|
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